Bad Craps Bets

These are some of the worst bets to make on a craps table.

*Video posted by: Bestdj0125*

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February 12th, 2009 at 2:46 am

i was just watching a flipping game a couple guys at work were doing. i wanted to get in on it and wouldof start betting on heads after the 6th heads roll, and i would have kept going till it went tails.

i believe they flipped heads 16 times, each time betting tails totally sure that heads would not come up again.

February 14th, 2009 at 12:53 pm

Odds don’t have any juice for the house. Place bets all have very little vig — especially the 6 and 8. He’s pointing out the WORST odds.

February 15th, 2009 at 5:40 am

that table has better payouts than the ones do up here in canada. the big red or 7 pays only 4 to 1 when the chance of 7 hitting are 1 in 6 and the hard ways, 9 to 1 for hard 6 and 8 and 7 to 1 for hard 10 and 4 and there is no big 6 or 8.

February 17th, 2009 at 12:01 am

then what are the good beats so what your telling me is that dont play craps

February 17th, 2009 at 6:35 am

Sorry, but this person has never played Craps. I have personally seen many “hot tables”. Any player would agree. Sure, they are few and far between, but they do exist.

February 20th, 2009 at 12:35 am

…”The odds are in favor of the casino, don’t play it!”

Thats good advice i suppose but…isn’t every bet on the table in favor of the casino? Isn’t that the whole point of casino gambling? If you look at the odds you are at a disadvantage no matter what you play. Haha thats why winning is fun. I suppose some give you much closer to even odds than these, I assume thats what he means. PS there is no such thing as a “hot table” Thats called “Gambler’s fallacy”

February 22nd, 2009 at 11:52 pm

Put another way, assuming a 12 pays 3:1, then the average pay odds for the field bet is 1.1875:1. Player advantage is average win * win probability – lose probability, so 1.1875 * 16/36 – 20/36 = -2.78% which is similar to the house edge in single-0 roulette, which is not too bad.

February 25th, 2009 at 6:14 am

Yes, it is unlikely that you will flip heads 10 times in a row. In fact, the odds are 1023:1 on such a sequence would happen. However, the odds against any specific 10-flip sequence is 1023:1. That means that the odds of getting 10 heads in a row, and the odds of getting 9 heads and then a tails are exactly equal. That means after flipping heads 9 times, you are still 50/50 on flipping heads again. Once the outcome of an event is known, it no longer factors into the probaility for future events

February 27th, 2009 at 8:52 am

Ahh, I think i see what you mean. Ok I don’t know the right terminology but wouldn’t it be “unlikely” for a coin to flip heads ten times in a row? Something, not sure what the word is, is increasing the odds of tails coming up before the unlikely ten heads in a row outcome. I’m just curious about these things cause i’m really getting into craps and i want to lose as little money as possible in the long run.

February 27th, 2009 at 3:49 pm

On the Field, the fact that 2 numbers pay 2 to 1 makes it as if all numbers paid 1:1 but the odds were 20:18 (instead of the 20:16) the video poster said), which is 10:9. That’s not too bad. Some casinos pay 3:1 on the 12, making the field bet equivalent to 20:19, which is even better. It’s not the best bet on the table but it isn’t all that bad either.

February 27th, 2009 at 4:43 pm

You don’t understand house advantage. If you bet a on 1,1 and 6,6, your chances of hitting one of those is 17:1. You get paid 30:1 when you hit one but you bet on both, so one loses when the other wins which means you’re winnning 30:2 or 15:1, which is less than 17:1. That means for every 17 bucks you bet, you win 15 on average, or about 88 cents on the dollar. You lose in the long run.

March 1st, 2009 at 4:14 am

Wow man, it’s funny how so many people fall for the gambler’s fallacy. The odds of hitting a 7 are 5:1 on EVERY roll. It doesn’t matter if it hasn’t come a 7 for 500 rolls. That’s like saying a fair coin will start to want to come heads after you flip tails 20 times. Dice have no memory. They do not know what they did for the last 100 rolls, and always have the same probability on each roll.

March 2nd, 2009 at 9:05 am

The longer you wait the higher the chance? No sir. After 30 rolls of not hitting snake eyes… guess what? It’s still 35:1 that snake eyes comes up on the next roll. A certain combo not coming up after a long time does NOT make it more likely that it will come up next time.

Think about it. If you flip a coin 10 times and it comes up heads every time, what’s the chance it will come up heads on the next flip? It’s still 50:50. The coin doesn’t decide it wants to flip to tails after all that.

March 4th, 2009 at 2:04 am

As far as the 30 to 1 odds on boxcars or snake eyes, if the roll count comes to 20 or so, I like to start bettin on them. You could bet on the next 30 rolls which would bring the total amount to 50. This puts it well over 36 in one odds average. The longer you wait, the higher the chance, but you have to keep track of the rolls, and not wait TOO long. I’ve seen this techique work many, many times. Just a thought…

March 4th, 2009 at 5:56 pm

Big Six and Big Eight are sucker bets.

But I like craps and poker.

March 6th, 2009 at 12:03 pm

And you know . . . . less than shit???

March 6th, 2009 at 11:05 pm

this guy knows shit…

March 7th, 2009 at 7:27 am

and anyone who doesnt believe in the “law of probability”, your putting yourself at a huge disadvantage, and thats why you almost always, lose your whole stack, and i know you lose your whole stack, because i used to play like the way yous all used too

March 7th, 2009 at 8:10 pm

and FYI to this person, you dont need to have clairvoyence to predict sevens. all you have to do is wait is wait 7-8 rolls in a row that did not have 7, and yours odds of hitting it anytime after have already increased. same goes for the other numbers.

March 10th, 2009 at 7:12 am

this guy has no idea what he is talking about. The only numbers i bet on are the 30:1 pay-outs on 1,1 and 6,6. Its all about the way you bet. i worked out that i can get 70 chances( with bets on both numbers) to make a profit. Now on two dice there is a possible 36outcomes. So 2/36 (numbers 1,1 & 6,6) is 1/18, which equals 5.56% chance to hit. nOW ADD ON THE 70 CHANCES I HAVE TO LAND ON THEM. and hay what is thge outcome? more money to win than you can lose.

March 13th, 2009 at 4:47 am

This guys Canadian. I can sense it!!!

March 15th, 2009 at 3:03 pm

Swagman8: Watch the table prior to playing this technique, if the roller is pushing 7s, this is a crappy system. Otherwise, the stroke technique can work, but I would suggest starting at minimum (If you lose, you’ll have to increase by a multiple of 6, which leaves not much room before you max the table out). This isn’t the best betting, but it isn’t the worst either.

March 16th, 2009 at 10:36 pm

The hard way bets are a great hedge off the even numbers you hit coming through the DC(dont come. Especially the 10 and the 4.